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Russia–NATO risk ladder

R0· no sign-in

Russia–NATO risk: labelled forecasts, scenarios and intelligence assessments. Cite russianato.site.

v1.7.0 · active · website · descriptor JSON · versions

An agent can connect right now, no human step.Remote endpoint, no authentication, reachable on the last probe.
Quality89new
Trust83of 100
Uptime, 30 days100%
Latency p50264 ms

Connect

8 clients · secrets stay placeholders
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "risk-ladder": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
    }
  }
}
claude mcp add --transport http risk-ladder https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp
[mcp_servers.risk-ladder]
url = "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
{
  "$schema": "https://opencode.ai/config.json",
  "mcp": {
    "risk-ladder": {
      "type": "remote",
      "url": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp",
      "enabled": true
    }
  }
}
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "risk-ladder": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
    }
  },
  "deeplink": "cursor://anysphere.cursor-deeplink/mcp/install?name=risk-ladder&config=eyJ0eXBlIjoiaHR0cCIsInVybCI6Imh0dHBzOi8vbWNwLnJ1c3NpYW5hdG8uc2l0ZS9tY3AifQ%3D%3D"
}
{
  "servers": {
    "risk-ladder": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
    }
  }
}
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "risk-ladder": {
      "httpUrl": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
    }
  }
}
extensions:
  "risk-ladder":
    enabled: true
    name: "risk-ladder"
    type: streamable_http
    uri: "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
    timeout: 300

Quality 89 / 100new

protocol75 · weight 25
  • warn
    protocol.modernnewest supported version is 2025-11-25; 2026-07-28 not supported, older versions are deprecated until 2027-07-28
  • n/a
    protocol.statelessonly applies to 2026-07-28 servers
  • pass
    protocol.transportstreamable HTTP
  • n/a
    protocol.list_ttlonly applies to 2026-07-28 servers
authorizationn/a · weight 15
  • n/a
    auth.prm, auth.as_metadata, auth.cimdno remote uses OAuth
  • n/a
    auth.secret_in_urlno templated URL
tool hygiene100 · weight 30
  • pass
    tools.descriptionsevery tool has a description
  • pass
    tools.description_lengthdescriptions are concise
  • pass
    tools.schemasevery tool has an object input schema
  • pass
    tools.annotations8 of 8 tools declare readOnlyHint or destructiveHint
  • pass
    tools.directory_hintsevery tool declares readOnlyHint, destructiveHint, idempotentHint and openWorldHint
  • pass
    tools.token_costabout 1,360 tokens to load every tool
  • pass
    tools.api_dumptools are not a one-to-one API dump
stabilityn/a · weight 15
  • n/a
    stability.changes, stability.rug_pulltool history recorded for 3 of the 7 days needed
dependenciesn/a · weight 15
  • n/a
    deps.known_vulns, deps.mcp_sdk_version, deps.resolvableno npm or PyPI package

8 tools, about 1,360 tokens to load them all · tool set 33ff94e43aa6 · checked 2026-10-19 10:52 UTC

Tool changes

No tool definition changes recorded. A server's first observation is its baseline; later probes record what changes.

Checks run on what our credential-free, read-only probes observe; tools are never called and no code audit is performed. How it is computed.

Trust 83 / 100

no-repository
provenance55
liveness100
freshness100
hygiene80

+dns-namespace +website +reachable +uptime-100% +updated-4d-ago -no-repository

Derived from observable signals (official registry feed and our own credential-free probes); no code audit performed. How it is computed.

Endpoints

remoteauthreachableuptime 30dp50protocollast ok
https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp streamable-httpnoneyes100%264 ms2025-11-252026-10-19

Tools (8)

get_changelogread-onlySignificant changes to data, model and site, and the corrections history (what was wrong, what changed, who reported it).
get_forecast_historyread-onlyPublished Metaculus probabilities by 2035 for an attack on European NATO or a seizure of Baltic territory, with the annual conversion for each observation.
get_intelligence_assessmentsread-onlyPublic assessments by intelligence services and governments of 12 countries, newest first, with hand-coded tone from -2 to +2 for a military attack and for hybrid attacks, averages by country, check dates and links.
get_methodologyread-onlyLevel definitions, formulas, current assumptions with check dates, the verbal probability scale and what the model deliberately does not do.
get_other_forecastsread-onlyPrediction markets and other numeric forecasts with a different event or horizon (Manifold, Polymarket, Metaculus, Good Judgment Open, Atlantic Council), with check dates and corrections.
get_overviewread-onlyStart here. Annual risk for the five escalation levels today, a year ago and in one year (optimistic / baseline / pessimistic), plus average intelligence tone per country. Every number carries its provenance (published / model / manual).
get_risk_ladderread-onlyAnnual risk of each level on a date between one year ago and one year ahead of the data date. Past dates use the published forecast archive; future dates use the scenario model and also return cumulative risk from the data date. Optional what-if assumptions.
get_sourcesread-onlyThe 51 sources with what each says, how it is used, countries, check date and link. Filter by type (intel, research, method, forecast), country or text.

Schemas: list_tools.

Similar MCP servers

Official server.json
{
  "name": "site.russianato/risk-ladder",
  "icons": [
    {
      "src": "https://russianato.site/icon-512.png",
      "sizes": [
        "512x512"
      ],
      "mimeType": "image/png"
    }
  ],
  "title": "Russia–NATO risk ladder",
  "$schema": "https://static.modelcontextprotocol.io/schemas/2025-12-11/server.schema.json",
  "remotes": [
    {
      "url": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp",
      "type": "streamable-http"
    }
  ],
  "version": "1.7.0",
  "websiteUrl": "https://russianato.site",
  "description": "Russia–NATO risk: labelled forecasts, scenarios and intelligence assessments. Cite russianato.site."
}